Fair-price market calibration

These paper signals use prices calculated from the model's own probabilities. They measure calibration; they are not bookmaker quotes, available betting opportunities or proof of betting profit. See the separate bookmaker-price archive.

1950settled
1232pending
568void

Market archive

B8 vs Luminosity · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win B8 vs Luminosity · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss B8 vs Luminosity · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending B8 vs Luminosity · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending Just Players vs ENCE · handicap_maps 1.5 · ENCE model 68% fair price 1.47 model outcome: win Just Players vs ENCE · handicap_maps -1.5 · ENCE model 19% fair price 5.33 model outcome: win Just Players vs ENCE · handicap_maps 1.5 · Just Players model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: loss Just Players vs ENCE · handicap_maps -1.5 · Just Players model 32% fair price 3.11 model outcome: loss Just Players vs ENCE · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win Just Players vs ENCE · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss Just Players vs ENCE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending Just Players vs ENCE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending INOX Division vs BAKS · handicap_maps 1.5 · BAKS model 68% fair price 1.47 model outcome: loss INOX Division vs BAKS · handicap_maps -1.5 · BAKS model 19% fair price 5.33 model outcome: loss INOX Division vs BAKS · handicap_maps 1.5 · INOX Division model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win INOX Division vs BAKS · handicap_maps -1.5 · INOX Division model 32% fair price 3.11 model outcome: win INOX Division vs BAKS · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win INOX Division vs BAKS · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss INOX Division vs BAKS · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending INOX Division vs BAKS · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · handicap_maps 1.5 · Bushido Wildcats model 74% fair price 1.35 model outcome: win Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · handicap_maps -1.5 · Bushido Wildcats model 24% fair price 4.15 model outcome: win Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · handicap_maps 1.5 · Rune Eaters model 76% fair price 1.32 model outcome: loss Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · handicap_maps -1.5 · Rune Eaters model 26% fair price 3.86 model outcome: loss Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 pending Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.37 pending Fruju vs Arcade · handicap_maps 1.5 · Arcade model 72% fair price 1.38 model outcome: win Fruju vs Arcade · handicap_maps -1.5 · Arcade model 23% fair price 4.43 model outcome: win Fruju vs Arcade · handicap_maps 1.5 · Fruju model 77% fair price 1.29 model outcome: loss Fruju vs Arcade · handicap_maps -1.5 · Fruju model 28% fair price 3.63 model outcome: loss Fruju vs Arcade · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Fruju vs Arcade · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Fruju vs Arcade · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending Fruju vs Arcade · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · handicap_maps 1.5 · LFO 8 model 68% fair price 1.47 model outcome: win MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · handicap_maps -1.5 · LFO 8 model 19% fair price 5.33 model outcome: win MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · handicap_maps 1.5 · MARKandLARRY model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: loss MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · handicap_maps -1.5 · MARKandLARRY model 32% fair price 3.11 model outcome: loss MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending MARKandLARRY vs LFO 8 · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · handicap_maps 1.5 · KUUSAMO model 64% fair price 1.55 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · handicap_maps -1.5 · KUUSAMO model 16% fair price 6.14 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · handicap_maps 1.5 · Saint Sinners model 84% fair price 1.19 model outcome: loss Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · handicap_maps -1.5 · Saint Sinners model 36% fair price 2.81 model outcome: loss Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 52% fair price 1.93 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 48% fair price 2.08 model outcome: loss Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending WW vs Phantom Academy · handicap_maps 1.5 · Phantom Academy model 64% fair price 1.55 model outcome: loss WW vs Phantom Academy · handicap_maps -1.5 · Phantom Academy model 16% fair price 6.14 model outcome: loss WW vs Phantom Academy · handicap_maps 1.5 · WW model 84% fair price 1.19 model outcome: win WW vs Phantom Academy · handicap_maps -1.5 · WW model 36% fair price 2.81 model outcome: win WW vs Phantom Academy · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 52% fair price 1.93 model outcome: win WW vs Phantom Academy · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 48% fair price 2.08 model outcome: loss WW vs Phantom Academy · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending WW vs Phantom Academy · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending Lavked vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps 1.5 · NAVI Junior model 74% fair price 1.35 model outcome: win Lavked vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps -1.5 · NAVI Junior model 24% fair price 4.15 model outcome: win Lavked vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps 1.5 · Lavked model 76% fair price 1.32 model outcome: loss Lavked vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps -1.5 · Lavked model 26% fair price 3.86 model outcome: loss Lavked vs NAVI Junior · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Lavked vs NAVI Junior · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Lavked vs NAVI Junior · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 pending Lavked vs NAVI Junior · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.37 pending FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · handicap_maps 1.5 · Nice Try model 74% fair price 1.35 model outcome: loss FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · handicap_maps -1.5 · Nice Try model 24% fair price 4.15 model outcome: loss FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · handicap_maps 1.5 · FaZe Up Next model 76% fair price 1.32 model outcome: win FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · handicap_maps -1.5 · FaZe Up Next model 26% fair price 3.86 model outcome: win FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 model outcome: win FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.37 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Honvéd model 74% fair price 1.35 model outcome: win Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Honvéd model 24% fair price 4.18 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Misa model 76% fair price 1.31 model outcome: win Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Misa model 26% fair price 3.83 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Misa vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 pending Misa vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 pending 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps 1.5 · FaZe Up Next model 73% fair price 1.38 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps -1.5 · FaZe Up Next model 23% fair price 4.39 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps 1.5 · 7o7 model 77% fair price 1.30 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps -1.5 · 7o7 model 27% fair price 3.66 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 void: captured_after_start WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps 1.5 · Nice Try model 68% fair price 1.48 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps -1.5 · Nice Try model 19% fair price 5.35 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps 1.5 · WBT model 81% fair price 1.23 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps -1.5 · WBT model 32% fair price 3.10 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 void: start_time_missing