Fair-price market calibration

These paper signals use prices calculated from the model's own probabilities. They measure calibration; they are not bookmaker quotes, available betting opportunities or proof of betting profit. See the separate bookmaker-price archive.

1950settled
1360pending
568void

Market archive

FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 model outcome: win FaZe Up Next vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.37 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Honvéd model 74% fair price 1.35 model outcome: win Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Honvéd model 24% fair price 4.18 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Misa model 76% fair price 1.31 model outcome: win Misa vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Misa model 26% fair price 3.83 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Misa vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Misa vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 pending Misa vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 pending 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps 1.5 · FaZe Up Next model 73% fair price 1.38 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps -1.5 · FaZe Up Next model 23% fair price 4.39 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps 1.5 · 7o7 model 77% fair price 1.30 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · handicap_maps -1.5 · 7o7 model 27% fair price 3.66 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 void: captured_after_start 7o7 vs FaZe Up Next · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 void: captured_after_start WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps 1.5 · Nice Try model 68% fair price 1.48 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps -1.5 · Nice Try model 19% fair price 5.35 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps 1.5 · WBT model 81% fair price 1.23 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · handicap_maps -1.5 · WBT model 32% fair price 3.10 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 void: start_time_missing WBT vs Nice Try · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 void: start_time_missing Olympus vs DETONATE · handicap_maps 1.5 · DETONATE model 64% fair price 1.55 model outcome: loss Olympus vs DETONATE · handicap_maps -1.5 · DETONATE model 16% fair price 6.14 model outcome: loss Olympus vs DETONATE · handicap_maps 1.5 · Olympus model 84% fair price 1.19 model outcome: win Olympus vs DETONATE · handicap_maps -1.5 · Olympus model 36% fair price 2.81 model outcome: win Olympus vs DETONATE · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 52% fair price 1.93 model outcome: win Olympus vs DETONATE · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 48% fair price 2.08 model outcome: loss Olympus vs DETONATE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending Olympus vs DETONATE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending For Fun vs Overtake Sector · handicap_maps 1.5 · Overtake Sector model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: loss For Fun vs Overtake Sector · handicap_maps -1.5 · Overtake Sector model 23% fair price 4.36 model outcome: loss For Fun vs Overtake Sector · handicap_maps 1.5 · For Fun model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win For Fun vs Overtake Sector · handicap_maps -1.5 · For Fun model 27% fair price 3.68 model outcome: win For Fun vs Overtake Sector · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win For Fun vs Overtake Sector · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss For Fun vs Overtake Sector · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.42 pending For Fun vs Overtake Sector · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.40 pending Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · handicap_maps 1.5 · Bounty Hunters model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · handicap_maps -1.5 · Bounty Hunters model 19% fair price 5.36 model outcome: loss Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · handicap_maps 1.5 · Imperial model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · handicap_maps -1.5 · Imperial model 32% fair price 3.10 model outcome: loss Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: loss Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: win Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win Imperial vs Bounty Hunters · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 model outcome: loss DENDELE vs Voca · handicap_maps 1.5 · Voca model 73% fair price 1.37 pending DENDELE vs Voca · handicap_maps -1.5 · Voca model 23% fair price 4.36 pending DENDELE vs Voca · handicap_maps 1.5 · DENDELE model 77% fair price 1.30 pending DENDELE vs Voca · handicap_maps -1.5 · DENDELE model 27% fair price 3.68 pending DENDELE vs Voca · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 pending DENDELE vs Voca · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 pending DENDELE vs Voca · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.42 pending DENDELE vs Voca · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.40 pending M80 vs BESTIA · handicap_maps 1.5 · BESTIA model 68% fair price 1.48 pending M80 vs BESTIA · handicap_maps -1.5 · BESTIA model 19% fair price 5.35 pending M80 vs BESTIA · handicap_maps 1.5 · M80 model 81% fair price 1.23 pending M80 vs BESTIA · handicap_maps -1.5 · M80 model 32% fair price 3.10 pending M80 vs BESTIA · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 pending M80 vs BESTIA · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 pending M80 vs BESTIA · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending M80 vs BESTIA · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.31 pending NRG vs Wildcard · handicap_maps 1.5 · Wildcard model 68% fair price 1.48 pending NRG vs Wildcard · handicap_maps -1.5 · Wildcard model 19% fair price 5.35 pending NRG vs Wildcard · handicap_maps 1.5 · NRG model 81% fair price 1.23 pending NRG vs Wildcard · handicap_maps -1.5 · NRG model 32% fair price 3.10 pending NRG vs Wildcard · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 pending NRG vs Wildcard · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 pending NRG vs Wildcard · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending NRG vs Wildcard · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · handicap_maps 1.5 · Chicken Coop model 57% fair price 1.76 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · handicap_maps -1.5 · Chicken Coop model 12% fair price 8.54 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · handicap_maps 1.5 · Liquid model 88% fair price 1.13 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · handicap_maps -1.5 · Liquid model 43% fair price 2.31 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 55% fair price 1.82 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 45% fair price 2.22 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 pending Liquid vs Chicken Coop · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.31 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Honvéd model 74% fair price 1.36 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Honvéd model 24% fair price 4.21 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Falcons Force model 76% fair price 1.31 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Falcons Force model 26% fair price 3.80 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.42 pending Falcons Force vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.40 pending Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · handicap_maps 1.5 · Illyrians model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · handicap_maps -1.5 · Illyrians model 19% fair price 5.39 model outcome: loss Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · handicap_maps 1.5 · Saint Sinners model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · handicap_maps -1.5 · Saint Sinners model 32% fair price 3.09 model outcome: loss Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: loss Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win Saint Sinners vs Illyrians · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 model outcome: loss