Fair-price market calibration

These paper signals use prices calculated from the model's own probabilities. They measure calibration; they are not bookmaker quotes, available betting opportunities or proof of betting profit. See the separate bookmaker-price archive.

1950settled
1360pending
568void

Market archive

Galorys vs Elementals · handicap_maps 1.5 · Galorys model 82% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Galorys vs Elementals · handicap_maps -1.5 · Galorys model 32% fair price 3.08 model outcome: win Galorys vs Elementals · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win Galorys vs Elementals · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss Galorys vs Elementals · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: loss Galorys vs Elementals · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 model outcome: win ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · handicap_maps 1.5 · EHISTO BASE model 52% fair price 1.94 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · handicap_maps -1.5 · EHISTO BASE model 9% fair price 10.84 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · handicap_maps 1.5 · ShindeN model 91% fair price 1.10 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · handicap_maps -1.5 · ShindeN model 48% fair price 2.06 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 58% fair price 1.73 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 42% fair price 2.36 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 void: start_time_missing ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 void: start_time_missing Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · handicap_maps 1.5 · Yawara model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: loss Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · handicap_maps -1.5 · Yawara model 18% fair price 5.41 model outcome: loss Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · handicap_maps 1.5 · Bounty Hunters model 82% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · handicap_maps -1.5 · Bounty Hunters model 32% fair price 3.08 model outcome: win Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: loss Bounty Hunters vs Yawara · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 model outcome: win ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · handicap_maps 1.5 · Turma do Pagode model 74% fair price 1.36 model outcome: win ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · handicap_maps -1.5 · Turma do Pagode model 24% fair price 4.24 model outcome: loss ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · handicap_maps 1.5 · ALKA model 76% fair price 1.31 model outcome: win ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · handicap_maps -1.5 · ALKA model 26% fair price 3.78 model outcome: loss ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 model outcome: loss ALKA vs Turma do Pagode · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.41 model outcome: win BET-M vs Butterfly · handicap_maps 1.5 · Butterfly model 74% fair price 1.36 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · handicap_maps -1.5 · Butterfly model 24% fair price 4.24 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · handicap_maps 1.5 · BET-M model 76% fair price 1.31 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · handicap_maps -1.5 · BET-M model 26% fair price 3.78 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs Butterfly · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.41 void: start_time_missing BET-M vs HyperSpace · handicap_maps 1.5 · HyperSpace model 67% fair price 1.50 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · handicap_maps -1.5 · HyperSpace model 18% fair price 5.60 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · handicap_maps 1.5 · BET-M model 82% fair price 1.22 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · handicap_maps -1.5 · BET-M model 33% fair price 3.00 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.95 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.05 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 void: captured_after_start BET-M vs HyperSpace · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 void: captured_after_start Nemesis vs Butterfly · handicap_maps 1.5 · Butterfly model 73% fair price 1.37 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · handicap_maps -1.5 · Butterfly model 23% fair price 4.29 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · handicap_maps 1.5 · Nemesis model 77% fair price 1.30 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · handicap_maps -1.5 · Nemesis model 27% fair price 3.73 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 void: start_time_missing Nemesis vs Butterfly · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 void: start_time_missing Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · handicap_maps 1.5 · CYBERSHOKE model 67% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · handicap_maps -1.5 · CYBERSHOKE model 18% fair price 5.42 model outcome: loss Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · handicap_maps 1.5 · Nuclear TigeRES model 82% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · handicap_maps -1.5 · Nuclear TigeRES model 33% fair price 3.07 model outcome: loss Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: loss Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: win Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 model outcome: loss SportsBetExpert vs Without a Roof · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 void: start_time_missing SportsBetExpert vs Without a Roof · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 void: start_time_missing UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · handicap_maps 1.5 · PCIFIC model 67% fair price 1.48 model outcome: loss UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · handicap_maps -1.5 · PCIFIC model 18% fair price 5.44 model outcome: loss UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · handicap_maps 1.5 · UPGRADE model 82% fair price 1.22 model outcome: win UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · handicap_maps -1.5 · UPGRADE model 33% fair price 3.06 model outcome: win UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win UPGRADE vs PCIFIC · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 model outcome: loss QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · handicap_maps 1.5 · ex-RUSTEC model 73% fair price 1.37 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · handicap_maps -1.5 · ex-RUSTEC model 23% fair price 4.30 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · handicap_maps 1.5 · QUAZAR model 77% fair price 1.30 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · handicap_maps -1.5 · QUAZAR model 27% fair price 3.73 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 void: start_time_missing QUAZAR vs ex-RUSTEC · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.41 void: start_time_missing Color vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Honvéd model 67% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win Color vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Honvéd model 18% fair price 5.44 model outcome: loss Color vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Color model 82% fair price 1.22 model outcome: win Color vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Color model 33% fair price 3.06 model outcome: loss Color vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win Color vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss Color vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win Color vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 model outcome: loss SPARTA vs BAKS · handicap_maps 1.5 · BAKS model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win SPARTA vs BAKS · handicap_maps -1.5 · BAKS model 23% fair price 4.30 model outcome: loss SPARTA vs BAKS · handicap_maps 1.5 · SPARTA model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win SPARTA vs BAKS · handicap_maps -1.5 · SPARTA model 27% fair price 3.73 model outcome: loss SPARTA vs BAKS · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss SPARTA vs BAKS · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win SPARTA vs BAKS · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: loss SPARTA vs BAKS · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.32 model outcome: win INOX Division vs Drama · handicap_maps 1.5 · Drama model 67% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win INOX Division vs Drama · handicap_maps -1.5 · Drama model 18% fair price 5.44 model outcome: loss INOX Division vs Drama · handicap_maps 1.5 · INOX Division model 82% fair price 1.22 model outcome: win INOX Division vs Drama · handicap_maps -1.5 · INOX Division model 33% fair price 3.06 model outcome: loss