Fair-price market calibration

These paper signals use prices calculated from the model's own probabilities. They measure calibration; they are not bookmaker quotes, available betting opportunities or proof of betting profit. See the separate bookmaker-price archive.

1950settled
1360pending
568void

Market archive

Privateer vs Entropy · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 1.99 model outcome: win Privateer vs Entropy · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.01 model outcome: loss Privateer vs Entropy · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 73% fair price 1.38 model outcome: win Privateer vs Entropy · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 27% fair price 3.66 model outcome: loss Luminosity vs SAW · handicap_maps 1.5 · SAW model 73% fair price 1.37 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · handicap_maps -1.5 · SAW model 23% fair price 4.35 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · handicap_maps 1.5 · Luminosity model 77% fair price 1.30 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · handicap_maps -1.5 · Luminosity model 27% fair price 3.69 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 void: start_time_missing Luminosity vs SAW · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.46 void: start_time_missing M80 vs Iberian Soul · handicap_maps 1.5 · Iberian Soul model 68% fair price 1.47 model outcome: loss M80 vs Iberian Soul · handicap_maps -1.5 · Iberian Soul model 19% fair price 5.34 model outcome: loss M80 vs Iberian Soul · handicap_maps 1.5 · M80 model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win M80 vs Iberian Soul · handicap_maps -1.5 · M80 model 32% fair price 3.11 model outcome: win M80 vs Iberian Soul · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win M80 vs Iberian Soul · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss M80 vs Iberian Soul · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 model outcome: loss M80 vs Iberian Soul · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.36 model outcome: win LP vs WBT · handicap_maps 1.5 · WBT model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win LP vs WBT · handicap_maps -1.5 · WBT model 23% fair price 4.35 model outcome: loss LP vs WBT · handicap_maps 1.5 · LP model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win LP vs WBT · handicap_maps -1.5 · LP model 27% fair price 3.69 model outcome: loss LP vs WBT · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss LP vs WBT · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win LP vs WBT · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 model outcome: loss LP vs WBT · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.46 model outcome: win 6666 vs REVENIX · handicap_maps 1.5 · REVENIX model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: loss 6666 vs REVENIX · handicap_maps -1.5 · REVENIX model 23% fair price 4.35 model outcome: loss 6666 vs REVENIX · handicap_maps 1.5 · 6666 model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win 6666 vs REVENIX · handicap_maps -1.5 · 6666 model 27% fair price 3.69 model outcome: win 6666 vs REVENIX · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win 6666 vs REVENIX · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss 6666 vs REVENIX · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 model outcome: win 6666 vs REVENIX · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.36 model outcome: loss ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · handicap_maps 1.5 · Fortress model 53% fair price 1.90 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · handicap_maps -1.5 · Fortress model 10% fair price 10.35 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · handicap_maps 1.5 · ex-Zero Tenacity model 90% fair price 1.11 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · handicap_maps -1.5 · ex-Zero Tenacity model 47% fair price 2.11 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 57% fair price 1.75 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 43% fair price 2.33 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 void: start_time_missing ex-Zero Tenacity vs Fortress · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.36 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · handicap_maps 1.5 · NEXORA model 75% fair price 1.34 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · handicap_maps -1.5 · NEXORA model 25% fair price 4.08 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · handicap_maps 1.5 · BERG model 75% fair price 1.32 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · handicap_maps -1.5 · BERG model 25% fair price 3.92 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 void: start_time_missing BERG vs NEXORA · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.46 void: start_time_missing Drama vs ZOTIX · handicap_maps 1.5 · ZOTIX model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win Drama vs ZOTIX · handicap_maps -1.5 · ZOTIX model 19% fair price 5.37 model outcome: loss Drama vs ZOTIX · handicap_maps 1.5 · Drama model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Drama vs ZOTIX · handicap_maps -1.5 · Drama model 32% fair price 3.09 model outcome: loss Drama vs ZOTIX · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: loss Drama vs ZOTIX · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: win Drama vs ZOTIX · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 model outcome: loss Drama vs ZOTIX · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 model outcome: win OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · handicap_maps 1.5 · LPH model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · handicap_maps -1.5 · LPH model 19% fair price 5.37 model outcome: loss OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · handicap_maps 1.5 · OLDBOYS PL model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · handicap_maps -1.5 · OLDBOYS PL model 32% fair price 3.09 model outcome: loss OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: loss OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: win OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 model outcome: win OLDBOYS PL vs LPH · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 model outcome: loss HEROIC vs 1win · handicap_maps 1.5 · 1win model 69% fair price 1.45 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · handicap_maps -1.5 · 1win model 20% fair price 5.05 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · handicap_maps 1.5 · HEROIC model 80% fair price 1.25 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · handicap_maps -1.5 · HEROIC model 31% fair price 3.25 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.98 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.02 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.42 void: start_time_missing HEROIC vs 1win · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.38 void: start_time_missing 1win vs B8 · handicap_maps 1.5 · B8 model 74% fair price 1.35 model outcome: win 1win vs B8 · handicap_maps -1.5 · B8 model 24% fair price 4.11 model outcome: win 1win vs B8 · handicap_maps 1.5 · 1win model 76% fair price 1.32 model outcome: loss 1win vs B8 · handicap_maps -1.5 · 1win model 26% fair price 3.90 model outcome: loss 1win vs B8 · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win 1win vs B8 · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss 1win vs B8 · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 model outcome: win 1win vs B8 · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.46 model outcome: loss Fluxo vs ShindeN · handicap_maps 1.5 · ShindeN model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win Fluxo vs ShindeN · handicap_maps -1.5 · ShindeN model 23% fair price 4.35 model outcome: loss Fluxo vs ShindeN · handicap_maps 1.5 · Fluxo model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win Fluxo vs ShindeN · handicap_maps -1.5 · Fluxo model 27% fair price 3.69 model outcome: loss Fluxo vs ShindeN · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Fluxo vs ShindeN · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Fluxo vs ShindeN · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 model outcome: win Fluxo vs ShindeN · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.46 model outcome: loss The Last Resort vs Ryvex · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 pending The Last Resort vs Ryvex · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.46 pending BetBoom vs G2 · handicap_maps 1.5 · G2 model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win BetBoom vs G2 · handicap_maps -1.5 · G2 model 23% fair price 4.35 model outcome: loss BetBoom vs G2 · handicap_maps 1.5 · BetBoom model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win BetBoom vs G2 · handicap_maps -1.5 · BetBoom model 27% fair price 3.69 model outcome: loss BetBoom vs G2 · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss BetBoom vs G2 · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win