Stake Pulse Beat I · 03 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC · BO3 · finished

fnatic 2 : 0 Lilmix
fnatic 54% 46% Lilmix

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

80% implied (betway)

Last observed pre-start odds: fnatic 1.15 · Lilmix 4.75

Edge -26.8 pts on Lilmix

Glicko-2 ratings

1754 vs 1364

Ratings alone imply fnatic 90%.

hltv ranking

#29 vs

Community vote

88% vs 11%

hltv community pick

Recent form

fnatic

  • W 2-1 vs BRUTE
  • W 2-0 vs HOTU
  • W 2-0 vs SPARTA
  • W 2-1 vs Misa
  • W 2-0 vs The Last Resort

Lilmix

  • L 1-2 vs Misa
  • W 1-0 vs Entropy
  • L 1-2 vs G2 Ares
  • L 0-2 vs DONSTU
  • W 1-0 vs Misa

Head to head

First meeting on record.

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →