Esports World Cup 2026 · 12 Aug 2026, 16:25 UTC · BO1 · finished

MIBR 6 : 13 Astralis
MIBR 47% 53% Astralis

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

45% implied (pinnacle)

Last observed pre-start odds: MIBR 2.11 · Astralis 1.75

Edge +1.7 pts on MIBR

Glicko-2 ratings

1890 vs 1909

Ratings alone imply MIBR 47%.

hltv ranking

#25 vs #11

Community vote

21% vs 78%

hltv community pick

Recent form

MIBR

  • W 2-0 vs BESTIA
  • W 2-0 vs ShindeN
  • W 2-1 vs LP
  • W 2-0 vs Fluxo
  • L 0-2 vs 9z

Astralis

  • L 1-2 vs MOUZ
  • W 2-1 vs paiN
  • W 2-1 vs HOTU
  • L 0-2 vs HEROIC
  • L 0-2 vs HOTU

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →