Esports World Cup 2026 · 12 Aug 2026, 11:55 UTC · BO1 · finished

magic 34% 66% The MongolZ

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

43% implied (betway)

Last observed pre-start odds: magic 2.10 · The MongolZ 1.60

Edge -9.1 pts on The MongolZ

Glicko-2 ratings

1918 vs 1975

Ratings alone imply magic 42%.

hltv ranking

#22 vs #13

Community vote

22% vs 78%

hltv community pick

Recent form

magic

  • W 2-0 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
  • W 2-0 vs Gentle Mates
  • L 1-2 vs 3DMAX
  • W 2-0 vs Walczaki
  • W 2-0 vs Gentle Mates

The MongolZ

  • L 1-2 vs FaZe
  • W 2-0 vs Wildcard
  • W 2-1 vs HEROIC
  • L 0-2 vs 9z
  • W 2-1 vs Monte

Head to head

0 1

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →