Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · 12 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · BO3 · finished

HOTU 54% 46% 100 Thieves

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

No pre-match bookmaker line captured.

Glicko-2 ratings

1878 vs 1843

Ratings alone imply HOTU 55%.

hltv ranking

#27 vs

Community vote

23% vs 77%

hltv community pick

Recent form

HOTU

  • W 2-0 vs Wildcard
  • W 2-0 vs Betclic
  • L 1-2 vs FOKUS
  • W 2-0 vs Eternal Fire
  • L 0-1 vs HEROIC

100 Thieves

  • W 2-0 vs 3DMAX
  • W 2-0 vs Acend
  • L 1-2 vs BBL
  • L 1-2 vs Eternal Fire
  • L 4-13 vs Vitality

Head to head

0 1

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →