Stake Ranked Episode 4 · 01 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · BO3 · upcoming

Astralis 60% 40% Alliance

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

No pre-match bookmaker line captured.

Glicko-2 ratings

1918 vs 1882

Ratings alone imply Astralis 55%.

hltv ranking

#12 vs #27

Community vote

No community votes captured.

Recent form

Astralis

  • L 0-2 vs BetBoom
  • W 2-1 vs G2
  • L 1-2 vs G2
  • W 2-1 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
  • L 0-2 vs Falcons

Alliance

  • L 0-2 vs Wildcard
  • L 1-2 vs 9z
  • W 2-1 vs Nemesis
  • W 2-0 vs 9z
  • W 13-6 vs B8

Head to head

First meeting on record.

Don't take our word for it

Every value bet this model flags is locked in before kickoff and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins, ROI +57.2%.

See the full track record →