Stake Ranked Episode 5 Open Qualifier · 15 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · BO3 · finished

ASTRAL 54% 46% Rune Eaters

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

No pre-match bookmaker line captured.

Glicko-2 ratings

1613 vs 1557

Ratings alone imply ASTRAL 58%.

hltv ranking

Both teams unranked at match time.

Community vote

63% vs 36%

hltv community pick

Recent form

ASTRAL

  • L 0-2 vs 1win
  • W 13-10 vs FOKUS
  • L 1-2 vs Nemesis
  • L 1-2 vs Nemiga
  • W 13-8 vs fnatic

Rune Eaters

  • L 1-2 vs Omega
  • L 0-2 vs 9INE
  • W 2-0 vs NOVAQ
  • W 2-0 vs 9INE
  • L 0-2 vs Black Phoenix

Head to head

First meeting on record.

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →