Stake Ranked Episode 5 Open Qualifier · 15 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · BO3 · finished

Phantom 60% 40% G2 Ares

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

No pre-match bookmaker line captured.

Glicko-2 ratings

1688 vs 1566

Ratings alone imply Phantom 67%.

hltv ranking

Both teams unranked at match time.

Community vote

87% vs 12%

hltv community pick

Recent form

Phantom

  • L 0-2 vs SINNERS
  • L 0-2 vs INFINITE
  • W 2-1 vs OG
  • L 0-2 vs ex-Zero Tenacity
  • W 2-1 vs Nemiga

G2 Ares

  • L 1-2 vs BRUTE
  • L 1-2 vs Honvéd
  • W 2-0 vs Azuolas
  • L 1-2 vs ex-Zero Tenacity
  • W 2-0 vs WAZABI

Head to head

1 0

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →