ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · 23 Sep 2026, 09:00 UTC · BO3 · upcoming

THUNDER dOWNUNDER 93% 7% Arcade

Model win probability · v008

Why the model rates it this way

Model vs market

No pre-match bookmaker line captured.

Glicko-2 ratings

1866 vs 1489

Ratings alone imply THUNDER dOWNUNDER 89%.

hltv ranking

Both teams unranked at match time.

Community vote

93% vs 6%

hltv community pick

Recent form

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

  • W 2-0 vs Ground Zero
  • W 2-1 vs Ground Zero
  • W 2-0 vs Mindfreak
  • W 2-0 vs Ground Zero
  • L 0-2 vs FlyQuest

Arcade

  • W 2-0 vs Fruju
  • L 0-2 vs madlikewizards
  • W 2-1 vs Staqued
  • L 1-2 vs 5dads
  • L 0-2 vs Ground Zero

Don't take our word for it

Bookmaker-price paper signals are recorded before scheduled start and settled publicly: 11 settled signals, 9 wins.

Small sample: 11 settled bookmaker-price paper signals. Aggregate return is withheld until 100 results.

See the bookmaker-price archive →