Fair-price market calibration

These paper signals use prices calculated from the model's own probabilities. They measure calibration; they are not bookmaker quotes, available betting opportunities or proof of betting profit. See the separate bookmaker-price archive.

1950settled
1360pending
568void

Market archive

BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE · handicap_maps 1.5 · BAKS model 77% fair price 1.31 model outcome: loss BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE · handicap_maps -1.5 · BAKS model 27% fair price 3.75 model outcome: loss BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.42 model outcome: loss BAKS vs CYBERSHOKE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.40 model outcome: win 9INE vs aimclub · handicap_maps 1.5 · aimclub model 67% fair price 1.50 model outcome: win 9INE vs aimclub · handicap_maps -1.5 · aimclub model 18% fair price 5.60 model outcome: loss 9INE vs aimclub · handicap_maps 1.5 · 9INE model 82% fair price 1.22 model outcome: win 9INE vs aimclub · handicap_maps -1.5 · 9INE model 33% fair price 3.00 model outcome: loss 9INE vs aimclub · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.95 model outcome: loss 9INE vs aimclub · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.05 model outcome: win 9INE vs aimclub · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win 9INE vs aimclub · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 model outcome: loss Phantom vs G2 Ares · handicap_maps 1.5 · G2 Ares model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: loss Phantom vs G2 Ares · handicap_maps -1.5 · G2 Ares model 19% fair price 5.35 model outcome: loss Phantom vs G2 Ares · handicap_maps 1.5 · Phantom model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win Phantom vs G2 Ares · handicap_maps -1.5 · Phantom model 32% fair price 3.10 model outcome: win Phantom vs G2 Ares · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win Phantom vs G2 Ares · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss Phantom vs G2 Ares · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win Phantom vs G2 Ares · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 model outcome: loss ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · handicap_maps 1.5 · Rune Eaters model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · handicap_maps -1.5 · Rune Eaters model 23% fair price 4.32 model outcome: win ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · handicap_maps 1.5 · ASTRAL model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: loss ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · handicap_maps -1.5 · ASTRAL model 27% fair price 3.71 model outcome: loss ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win ASTRAL vs Rune Eaters · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.33 model outcome: loss Aritmije vs Just Players · handicap_maps 1.5 · Just Players model 75% fair price 1.33 model outcome: win Aritmije vs Just Players · handicap_maps -1.5 · Just Players model 25% fair price 3.94 model outcome: win Aritmije vs Just Players · handicap_maps 1.5 · Aritmije model 75% fair price 1.34 model outcome: loss Aritmije vs Just Players · handicap_maps -1.5 · Aritmije model 25% fair price 4.06 model outcome: loss Aritmije vs Just Players · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Aritmije vs Just Players · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Aritmije vs Just Players · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win Aritmije vs Just Players · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 27% fair price 3.69 model outcome: loss Young27 vs WW · handicap_maps 1.5 · WW model 73% fair price 1.37 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · handicap_maps -1.5 · WW model 23% fair price 4.32 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · handicap_maps 1.5 · Young27 model 77% fair price 1.30 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · handicap_maps -1.5 · Young27 model 27% fair price 3.71 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.42 void: captured_after_start Young27 vs WW · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.40 void: captured_after_start ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · handicap_maps 1.5 · Banger Gang model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · handicap_maps -1.5 · Banger Gang model 23% fair price 4.32 model outcome: loss ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · handicap_maps 1.5 · ZOTIX model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · handicap_maps -1.5 · ZOTIX model 27% fair price 3.71 model outcome: loss ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.42 model outcome: loss ZOTIX vs Banger Gang · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.40 model outcome: win BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · handicap_maps 1.5 · OLDBOYS PL model 84% fair price 1.19 model outcome: win BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · handicap_maps -1.5 · OLDBOYS PL model 36% fair price 2.80 model outcome: win BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · handicap_maps 1.5 · BERG model 64% fair price 1.56 model outcome: loss BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · handicap_maps -1.5 · BERG model 16% fair price 6.18 model outcome: loss BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 52% fair price 1.93 model outcome: win BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 48% fair price 2.08 model outcome: loss BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win BERG vs OLDBOYS PL · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 27% fair price 3.72 model outcome: loss ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · handicap_maps 1.5 · Nexus model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: win ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · handicap_maps -1.5 · Nexus model 19% fair price 5.35 model outcome: loss ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · handicap_maps 1.5 · ex-RUSTEC model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · handicap_maps -1.5 · ex-RUSTEC model 32% fair price 3.10 model outcome: loss ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: loss ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: win ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.34 model outcome: loss Lavked vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Honvéd model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: loss Lavked vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Honvéd model 23% fair price 4.32 model outcome: loss Lavked vs Honvéd · handicap_maps 1.5 · Lavked model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win Lavked vs Honvéd · handicap_maps -1.5 · Lavked model 27% fair price 3.71 model outcome: win Lavked vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Lavked vs Honvéd · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Lavked vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: win Lavked vs Honvéd · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.34 model outcome: loss Just Players vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps 1.5 · NAVI Junior model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: win Just Players vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps -1.5 · NAVI Junior model 23% fair price 4.32 model outcome: loss Just Players vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps 1.5 · Just Players model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win Just Players vs NAVI Junior · handicap_maps -1.5 · Just Players model 27% fair price 3.71 model outcome: loss Just Players vs NAVI Junior · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Just Players vs NAVI Junior · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Just Players vs NAVI Junior · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 71% fair price 1.41 model outcome: win Just Players vs NAVI Junior · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 29% fair price 3.42 model outcome: loss Black Phoenix vs ENCE · handicap_maps 1.5 · ENCE model 73% fair price 1.37 model outcome: loss Black Phoenix vs ENCE · handicap_maps -1.5 · ENCE model 23% fair price 4.32 model outcome: loss Black Phoenix vs ENCE · handicap_maps 1.5 · Black Phoenix model 77% fair price 1.30 model outcome: win Black Phoenix vs ENCE · handicap_maps -1.5 · Black Phoenix model 27% fair price 3.71 model outcome: win Black Phoenix vs ENCE · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: win Black Phoenix vs ENCE · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 50% fair price 2.00 model outcome: loss Black Phoenix vs ENCE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · under model 70% fair price 1.43 model outcome: loss Black Phoenix vs ENCE · totals_rounds 22.5 · map 1 · over model 30% fair price 3.34 model outcome: win G2 Ares vs Azuolas · handicap_maps 1.5 · Azuolas model 68% fair price 1.48 model outcome: loss G2 Ares vs Azuolas · handicap_maps -1.5 · Azuolas model 19% fair price 5.35 model outcome: loss G2 Ares vs Azuolas · handicap_maps 1.5 · G2 Ares model 81% fair price 1.23 model outcome: win G2 Ares vs Azuolas · handicap_maps -1.5 · G2 Ares model 32% fair price 3.10 model outcome: win G2 Ares vs Azuolas · totals_maps 2.5 · under model 51% fair price 1.96 model outcome: win G2 Ares vs Azuolas · totals_maps 2.5 · over model 49% fair price 2.04 model outcome: loss